IPhone 3G Supply Can Meet Demand: RIMM Scared

Article Submitted by: AronLiv
Technology


Tags: Iphone, Apple, Rimm.

The iPhone is here, it is real and it is Apple's biggest revolution yet. RIMM and Nokia are understandably scared.

 

Submitted: Jul 18, 2008    Views: 887    Comments: 8    Likes: 2   


The first IPhone, unveiled in June 2007, was an expensive gadget that gave some who could and would spend the money a little glance into the future of the mobile internet.

Apple, it seemed, had already disintermediated the entire music industry with the iPod, and wanted to give notice that it intended to do the same in the wireless industry.  ATT, for reasons discussed earlier on this site, was something of a reluctant participant in this endeavor.  Verizon Wireless was not.  After the product gained some traction in the US, carriers worldwide became reluctant participants.

While Apple began its foray into the wireless industry, RIMM continued its own growth through further and further traction in the consumer market while consolidating its control of the corporate markets.   While Apple's performance ovver the last year was spectacular, RIMM's was still more amazing.

Now, Apple has introduced the IPhone 3G, its second generation.  There are many who still don't believe in Apple and in Steve Jobs - those who don't believe that he could possibly transform the industry.  I am an industry insider, and I will tell you that it is now clear that the global phenomenon of the iPhone 3g will now transform the wireless industry unlike anything that  this industry, or any industry, has ever seen.

The new device, in addition to accounting for all of the shortcomings of the previous and introducing new hardware functionality like GPS location, makes the mobile internet a reality.  It can do everything faster.  It also has the same business functionality that the RIMM products have, including push email capabilities, access to Microsoft Exchange and VPNs, which will be Apple's entry into the corporate market.  It is a much better mobile development platform that enables developers such ease of producing new applications.

Not only is it more than hype, but because the device is priced effectively (well below the worldwide average selling price of a RIMM device and less than 2 times above the worldwide asp of the average Nokia), demand is extraordinary.  The device was unveiled a week ago.  Even now, the lines are extraordinary with waiting times to purchase at most Apple stores in the US are between 3 and 5 hours (some places longer).  Extra staff have been added and the 15 largest stores are now each selling 1000 devices an hour.  Added security has been added to control crowds.  The inventory delivered to most ATT retail outlets has been so quickly exhausted that most outlets are taking names for a "will call" list saying that they will call in 15 days when it is your turn to purchase.  Apple has cancelled all planned advertising.

I spoke with a senior contact at RIMM just before the launch and he gave the corporate line about how wonderful it is that Apple has increased worldwide awareness of the potential of the mobile internet.  Today, he sounded a bit more concerned, suggesting that RIMM would be able to control the corporate market for some time and that things might change when RIMM unveils its new devices with more integrated multimedia capabilities.

Apple's moving ahead quickly now.  This is real.  It is transformational.  It is rare.  Don't bet against them.

 

Full disclosure: I use both RIMM and an IPhone.  I hate touch screen, but that isn't going to cause me to deny where this is going.  I am long a buttload of Apple stock.  I also recommend that anyone who can wait to buy do so because I think that they will soon introduce a device with a better camera, more memory / or an expansion slot, and a removable battery.




Related Articles:



2

Email this story Email to someone | Print Story Print Content | Add to reading list

Comments Received:

There is an article in today's WSJ that says that Ericsson has already lost the entire top end of their customer base. Ericsson was the first company that even tried to compete with Apple in the multimedia space and they got scalped already with the first one. Bad news brewing for everyone else.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

Agreed 100% with everything written here, but Apple's challenge worldwide is dreadful service, and in the US is the further challenge of dreadful att service. Also, I think that you intended to entitle the article - Apple Cannot Meet Demand. It is why the lines are still crazy which, in turn, is what really scares their competitors now.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

Author/Submitter Response:

I should have come up with a better title for the article. You are correct that they cannot meet the immediate demand at the current price point. That is the reason for the lines, etc. (and it should be a concern for ATT and Apple), but ultimately the extraordinary volume of demand and the fact that Apple will be able to meet it are what scares the daylights out of Rimm and the entire industry.

You were very skeptical of the original product. The moral here is that Apple has converted non-believers into believers.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

Jenny
(Unregistered)

I am so sick of all of the BS about the iPhone.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

Herm
(Unregistered)

The important point related to Apple is that this product actually has better margins that anything else that Apple produces. The stock is going much higher than $165.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

Phil
(Unregistered)

I agree with Jenny. iPhone hype has gotten out of control. It's a phone people.

Posted: Jul 19, 2008

rd4sndk
(Unregistered)

AronLiv... Where did you get the 1000 per hour figure from? I have not hurd numbers like that any where in cyber space or else where. I do believe that Apple could have sold or sold more than 3 million the first week but 15 stores at 1000 per hour is a bit much. Do you have a source for this prediction or is it your own calculation?

Posted: Jul 21, 2008

eD
(Unregistered)

haterade'ers

Not a phone, a handheld computer:)

Posted: Jul 21, 2008



Add Your Comments:

Your Name:

Spam protection control:


© Copyright 2008 AronLiv All rights reserved. AronLiv has granted BestCashCow.com, LLC non-exclusive rights to display this work on Bestcashcow.com.

Financial products of all nature bear inherent risks and this website is not a financial advisory service; it is a forum for users to share and to compare notes and observations on financial publications. The website provides, free of charge, the technical and logistical apparatus and the medium for users to share and to publish financial information and to comment on publications. As such, the website’s operator can not and does not take responsibility for information, observations or opinions of any sort or nature provided by third parties with whom it is not affiliated who use the website to publish, to comment or as a means of solicitation. Users are specifically warned against following any advice related to specific instruments, including, but not limited to, equity securities, that may be provided by other users directly on this site or on web pages to which other users have provided links on this site. BestCashCow.com can not and does not check or verify the qualifications and credentials of users who publish or comment on this site or on linked pages. Users should seek personalized advice from qualified professionals regarding all personal financial issues and evaluate the risks and applicability to their own circumstances of each financial product discussed regardless of who the publisher is or purports to be. Should you, through your use of this site, identify an individual or organization purporting to offer personalized advice, you bear all responsibility to ensure that the individual or organization has the qualifications that they may represent on the website, and that their advice is appropriate for your circumstances. On certain webpages, BestCashCow.com provides information related to rates on US-based savings accounts, CDs, short-term government bonds, and other US cash equivalent securities, also free of charge to internet users for their independent use. The accuracy of this information is not guaranteed, and the information, like all other information on this website, should not be construed to provide investment advice, nor to endorse a financial product of any sort.

© 2007 BestCashCow.com, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Terms under which this service is provided to you. Privacy Policy.