The economy is collapsing. The banking disease has now extended to the US's "real economy". Tax stimulus and the consumer economy have failed and we seem to be headed to a real depression very quickly. The IPhone is the only thing that can save us here.
Apple is a once in a lifetime company. The produce amazing products that disintermediate and change other industries. They changed the entertainment industry with the iPod and they gave notice that they would change the telecom industry with the first IPhone, which was a simply unbelievable product.
Last year Apple was a US centric company that had failed to get its products global. This year, it is a remarkable company with worldwide products that sell and sell and sell. In the first 3 days of the release of the new IPhone, it sold 1 million units in the US alone (the company has not released worldwide numbers, but they would be much greater). 1 million!
This phone is initiating an entirely new upgrade cycle in a tremendously important industry. It is clear to me that Apple and its carrier partners (ATT in the US) will be tremendous beneficiaries of this. Certain other companies in the food chain, such as the chip manufacturers, should also benefit derivatively. Other handset manufacturers on the cutting edge, such as RIMM, may also benefit from increasing migration to smartphones. (Still other manufacturers, such as Nokia, Motorola and Samsung, will die violent deaths as a result of this.)
I cannot get my paws on a new IPhone after going to several Apple stores and ATT stores.
The so-called "real economy" is now a technology economy. The $64,000 question is whether Apple and the amazing things that it is doing can enable the real economy to survive this mess.
Even if it can't, Apple will stay strong and will probably cushion the blow for many parts of the tech sector.
(On a side note, I would note that in a crashing economy, shorts tend to go after the last company standing tall to try to bring it down. I am looking forward to seeing these folks get killed when Apple runs to $200 next week).
Related Articles:
Apple Cuts Price on iPhone by PhilR - Sep 06, 2007
The Nokia Disaster by soczie - Jun 28, 2007
True IPhone Impact Won't Be Known for Months by soczie - Jul 02, 2007
Apple (AAPL) – Ratio Call Spread Update. The Delta / Theta Battle Rages On by PhilR - Jul 23, 2007.


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