As late as Friday, it looked like a virtual lock that the Fed would keep rates at 2%. But the activity of the last couple of days has dramatically increased the odds the Fed will lower rates. The chart below shows the probablities for rate changes. Look at the spike in probability for rates being lowered to 1.75% and even 1.5% and the drop in the probability of rates staying at 2%. There is now a greater than 50% change that rates will come down.
If you are thinking of opening a CD, now may be a good time. CD rates, savings rates, and money market rates will drop if the Fed lowers the Fed Funds rate.
For an ongoing discussion of interest rates and where they are going, please visit my Fed Funds Rate discussion page.

Related Articles:
Summer Vacation for the Fed by PhilR - Jun 23, 2007
Weak Retail Sales Could Convince Fed to Cut Rates by PhilR - Sep 15, 2007
Heads in the Sand -- Inflation sure ain't "moderate" by walt - Jun 29, 2007
Federal Reserve Holds Fed Funds Rate at 2% by Sol Nasisi - Sep 16, 2008
Fed Cuts Rates - Savings and CD Rates Sure to Follow by Sol Nasisi - Oct 08, 2008
Fed Cuts Rates to 1% to Stave Off Worldwide Recession by Sol Nasisi - Oct 29, 2008.


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