Articles by tag - depression

Equity Markets: Expect the Unexpected
Markets can change on a dime. Since the lows were marked in March, the last 9 months have been filled with a reflation of the risk-taking trade. Take money out of less risky assets (treasuries, the dollar) and put that money to work in riskier assets (equities, high yield bonds, emerging market currencies, etc.). Now it seems like a risk-reversal might be taking shape.
Posted on December 11, 2009 by
Odds of Depression Are 20% According to Harvard Economist Robert Barro
Robert Barro, a Professor of Economics at Harvard University a fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution looked at economic data from the past 130 years to determine the probabilities of a small and large depression occurring.
Posted on March 05, 2009 by
Dow Jones Industrials Crash Analysis - Great Depression Versus Today
I've wondering how the performance of the Dow in 2008 compares to the drop during the Great Depression. To find out, I graphed both and set them side by side. The results are interesting...
Posted on November 20, 2008 by
Thank Goodness the rest of the World Bought the US's Toxic Crap
It sounds horrible to say, but it is true.
Posted on November 01, 2008 by
Financial Markets Seem Silly
There is no surprise that the market had its biggest one-day gain in 75 years after its biggest one-week loss in history. Today may feel good, but we have seen this all before.
Posted on October 14, 2008 by
Nouriel Roubini says cut rates to 0 to avoid risk of a global systemic financial meltdown and a severe global depression
Nouriel Roubini, an economist who predicted the credit crisis said in a speech yesterday that the world is teetering on the brink of a financial meltdown. He offered several steps that he think should be taken immediately to prevent a severe global depression, including cutting rates by 150 basis points, which for the US would bring the Fed Funds rate to 0.
Posted on October 10, 2008 by
We Should be Thankful It\'s 2008 and Not 1933
Times have been tough recently but not so tough. Let's be thankful that we are in 2008 and not 1933 when there was 25% unemployment and the world was on the brink of a world war. Below are some pictures which chronicle those times in the United States. They are from the FDR Presidential Library and Museum. All hard times do eventually pass.
Posted on July 17, 2008 by
Herd Behavior in High Tech Markets
The stock market frenzy of recent has been a thing to behold. Something fundamental has happened – actually crept up on us – that has turned the traditional herd behavior so characteristic of past market events into a new stampede phenomenon. Anyone who has tried to herd cattle knows that it is not as easy as it looks and that, importantly, it takes time to get them all moving in the same direction. Stampedes are something else. The volatility we have all experienced, big time, these last weeks (both up and down) has been an ever more important indicator that something has taken hold of the market to which we have given insufficient attention and that will continue to have a fundamental impact not only on markets, but on individual economies and the world economy too.
Posted on August 23, 2007 by
Comparison of the Dow Jones Industrial Average During the Depression Versus Today - Part II
Today, as the Dow falls over 300 points and is down over 1,000 points in the past ten days, I thought it would be useful to revisit my Dow Jones Industrial's crash analysis I did in 2008. The analysis compared how the Dow was faring during the global financial crisis versus how it did in the 1930s in the throes of the Great Depression.
Posted on August 04, 2011 by

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Understanding the Time Value of Money
Posted on April 10,2013

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