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Selected category: Bonds

Yields on some corporate bonds are now lower than US Treasuries, a very rare occurrence that indicates investors are beginning to perceive cash rich companies as safer places to stash money than debt-ridden Uncle Sam. According to... Read →
The U.S. House of Representatives voted today to extend the Build America Bond program through 2013. The program has proven popular with municipalities because of the 35% subsidy provided by the Federal government. The bonds have also... Read →
The business press is buzzing about the default of the Las Vegas monorail project and its implications for the broader muni bond market. The consensus seems to be that a wave of defaults are coming. While some segments of the municipal... Read →
The 15 biggest states are estimating that they will take in 4% more revenue in 2011 than in 2010. That's significant because revenue has been declining since 2008, putting pressure on budgets and on municipal bond ratings. Some... Read →
The shock waves from the recently passed health reform bill are still making their way around the country and the investment world, but one item that may be of interest to readers is how the investment income tax will work. According to... Read →
Many investors who traditionally invested in municipal bonds are instead buying Treasuries as the yield spread between the two investments moves closer together. According to Bloomberg: "Local government bonds due in three years... Read →

The municipal bond market remains very well bid, with torrid and unrelenting demand from retail and other clients supporting both low nominal yields and tight credit spreads, in particular within 15 years. Longer buyers remain a bit more diffident but still aggressive. We do note a dramatic increase in institutional gains taking last week that helped offset an overall softer tax-exempt new issue calendar, however, even Friday's pointed losses in the Treasury market were insufficient to budge long munis off their strong premium pricing.

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Dirt bonds, or bonds that are used to build water and power lines as well as roads in newly developing communities are showing some of the highest default levels in the municipal bond category. The epicenter of defaults -... Read →

Although trading opportunities remain in the municipal market, this is not a traders' market. Rather, income-oriented buyers (so called, going-away demand) has driven yields and credit spreads lower and lower as the scarcity of acceptable product continues to meet a growing need for safe, tax-exempt income.

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Municipal bonds have performed well this year as buyers pursue the credit protection and income in both taxable and tax-exempt markets. Last week, munis rallied despite some flight to safety flows into Treasuries that in past weeks of the current crisis might have precipitated broader weakness. This year, investors appear to be more confident that the scarcity of high grade tax exempts will persist while the Federal government increases the income and capital gains tax rates and dilutes the value of competing tax shelters like the mortgage interest and charitable giving deductions.

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The big bond insurers were pretty much forced to their knees by the subprime crisis and their insuring of all kinds of collateralized debt. Now, their more conservative coverage may be giving them trouble. Several municipalities may file... Read →

With the Fed beginning what will likely be a slow road back to more normal intervention in the economy, Treasuries took a beating last week and municipal bonds saw sympathetic, if modest, losses across the yield curve. Still, this meant strong outperformance by tax-exempt paper that, with tax rates likely to go up and BAB-related scarcity likely to worsen or at least persist, may be setting the stage for record richness in tax-exempts over the next year.

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Last week's extreme volatility in Treasury prices, equity prices, sovereign contagion and rescue, and employment generally swept by the municipal market. By not changing much, municipals were left appearing substantially cheaper versus Treasuries, and perhaps riskier versus the for-now bailed out European sovereigns.

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The Treasury Yield Curve - Using it to Predict the Economic Future

Many investors wish they had a crystal ball to help them predict what will happen with the economy and their investments. What they don't understand is that something just like a crystal ball does exist - it's called the Treasury Yield Curve.

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10-Year Treasury Bonds Hit 4% for First Time Since 18 Months

Ten year US Treasury Bonds reached 4% yesterday for the first time in 18 months as good economic data and upcoming auctions drove yield up and prices down.

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