Author:Ari Socolow
on May 11, 2019
- modified on March 22, 2024
Long-term interest rates present a real conundrum here. 10-year rates have fallen from 3.05% to as low as 2.35% over the last six months. Fears of a global recession and Brexit uncertainty have caused money to pour into the US and to drive down what are still comparatively high US rates. Barring a global recession, it does seems that long-term interest rates should move higher as the Fed reduces its portfolio and as the risks in the US deficit and debt come to the fore.
Doubleline’s Jeffrey Gundlach made a compelling case for higher long-term rates on CNBC this past week.
Gundlach's view prompted an interesting discussions on CNBC's Options Action, one of the very few shows on CNBC that is actually worth watching. Mike Khouw and Dan Nathan suggested that a trading opportunity exists in the market’s complacency. Interestingly, Carter Worth, one of the traders, and many others, still believe that the 10-year goes to 2.00% here.
I wouldn't advise betting through market instrumnets one way on another on the direction of interest rates here. But, I’d heed the advice of Gundlach and others not to become too complacent about lower rates. Therefore, if you are thinking about remortgaging or locking in a home equity loan, this is as good of a time as any to take action.
Ari Socolow: Ari Socolow is the Chief Economist and Editor-in-Chief at BestCashCow. He is particularly interested in issues relating to bank transparency and the climate crisis. Since co-founding BestCashCow in 2005, Ari has been frequently cited in the media as an expert on local and national savings accounts, CD products, mortgage and loan products and credit card rewards products.
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Rates/terms are subject to change. All offers of credit are subject to credit approval. Applicants may be offered credit at higher rates and other terms. Property insurance (including flood insurance, if applicable) is required. HELOCs not offered in Texas. Membership at FourLeaf is required by opening a minimum $5 share account.
Rates shown are based on primary residence, minimum initial draw of $25,000 at account opening, monthly payments via automatic transfers from a FourLeaf checking/savings account, and borrower(s) inputs for credit score and Combined Loan-to-Value.
If borrower(s) qualifies for an intro rate, the intro APR is fixed for 12 months. After, standard APR is variable based on the U.S. Prime Rate, plus a margin, and is subject to increase. To obtain an intro rate, borrower(s) must meet credit/loan program requirements, including (but not limited to): 1) maximum CLTV of 75%, 2) minimum credit score of 720 3) initial draw of $25,000 and maintain this balance for 12 months, 4) monthly payments via automatic transfers from a FourLeaf checking/savings account, and 5) have not had an intro rate within the past 5 years. Loan amounts over $500,000 are not available for the intro rate.
The standard APR is variable based on the U.S. Prime Rate as published in the Wall Street Journal, plus a margin (if applicable), and is subject to increase after consummation. The current standard APR ranges from 7.50% - 18.00% as of 4/16/2025. Not all applicants will qualify for the lowest rate. The minimum floor APR is 3.25% and maximum is 18%. Prime Rate as of 4/16/2025 = 7.50%. Closing costs for the first $500,000 will be paid by FourLeaf but must be repaid by the borrower(s) if the HELOC is closed within first 36 months of account opening. Fees generally range between $500 - $15,000. Borrower(s) will be responsible for mortgage-related taxes and title insurance costs on the line amounts over $500,000. Fees generally range between $500 -$60,000.
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